College Football · resolved market
Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd32719cbb8a92759da2fae490fe0252bbeb2f4172b05fb05a0af5d61e6b1f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Tulsa, Florida Atlantic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tulsa | 37c | 21,385$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.25 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tulsa | 13c | 12,149$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.08 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Florida Atlantic | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic | 63c | 5,801$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.4 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Tulsa | 37c | 3,600$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tulsa | 31c | 3,111$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.75 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa | 32c | 2,904$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Atlantic | 60c | 2,290$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.87 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida Atlantic | 64c | 1,449$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.64 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tulsa | 15c | 1,118$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Florida Atlantic | 62c | 836.38$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tulsa | 38c | 735.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.78 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Tulsa | 14c | 734.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 701.96$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.79 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulsa | 26c | 296.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tulsa | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Tulsa | 13c | 212.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Tulsa | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Tulsa | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tulsa | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Tulsa | 39c | 157$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Tulsa | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tulsa | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…a979backed Tulsa | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Tulsa | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Tulsa | 36c | 87.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Atlantic | 74c | 85.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…febebacked Florida Atlantic | 63c | 84.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Tulsa | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tulsa | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…969cbacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Tulsa | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Florida Atlantic | 62c | 56.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Tulsa | 39c | 50.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Florida Atlantic | 78c | 47.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4a8abacked Florida Atlantic | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Tulsa | 39c | 38.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Florida Atlantic | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Tulsa | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…3635backed Florida Atlantic | 63c | 30.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Tulsa | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Tulsa | 40c | 25.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…8056backed Florida Atlantic | 63c | 16.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsa vs. Florida Atlanticthis page
- O/U 64.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)Florida Atlantic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.