College Football · resolved market
Spread: Miami (-28.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245d550e814d8f6c907ec54ce0a6781ca49a15c94a5b0d5a5982ad60a10ce5e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuseof Miami, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Syracuse | 51c | 78,990$40,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,705.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Miami | 49c | 61,935$30,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,348.24 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Miami | 49c | 47,757$23,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400.93 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Syracuse | 51c | 37,842$19,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,542.61 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Syracuse | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Miami | 50c | 26,392$13,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,196 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Miami | 52c | 25,200$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,104.2 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Syracuse | 48c | 15,226$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917.62 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Syracuse | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami | 49c | 6,530$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.7 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami | 50c | 4,410$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Syracuse | 52c | 1,402$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Miami | 49c | 843.33$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.39 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Syracuse | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Syracuse | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Syracuse | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Miami | 49c | 153.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Syracuse | 47c | 152.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Miami | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Miami | 53c | 75.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Miami | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Miami | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Miami | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Miami | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Miami | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…1369backed Syracuse | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…e34abacked Syracuse | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (-28.5)this page
- Syracuse vs. MiamiMiami won
- Syracuse vs. Miami: O/U 46.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.