NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6d524e911e24d560bc6d3a59f9bb085ed5e2519f3d8cd23e65abff60afcfb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 6,285$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.49 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 52c | 3,376$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.48 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 49c | 2,045$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.9 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Under | 48c | 1,901$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 1,623$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.62 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 52c | 932.37$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 919$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.12 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 898.78$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.4 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 53c | 620.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 52c | 564$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 459.12$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Under | 48c | 408.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Over | 64c | 327.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 46c | 206$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 202.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 49c | 144.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 32c | 135.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 45c | 82.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 62.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 63c | 59.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Under | 60c | 23.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. OilersOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.