Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92099fbf79dbc52a6a70d1daca15aed42152d4e0ae73a5eee1f177888699c4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Nemesis, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 2,683$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.52 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,510$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.48 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,118$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…4456backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 948$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 930$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…13e4backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 918$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 845.5$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 845$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…cf54backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 833.56$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 833$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +145%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…4166backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 819$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…b1b6backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 809$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 780.08$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 760$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…0c24backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 738$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 724.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3c28backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 721$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 705$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 665.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…1b62backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 651$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 588$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833f…f564backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 565$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 531.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…2ffebacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 519.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…fcacbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…cd84backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 483$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 477$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 449$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…7b5cbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 435$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…c525backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 435$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…5f80backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 398$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 394.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 385$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 380$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…1541backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 360$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 345$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 344.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 336$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…ad11backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 327$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 324$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 305.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…69e7backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 303$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 299.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 265.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 263.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…155dbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 254$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 227.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…b4febacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 217$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…5d3abacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 213.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…f054backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 213.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 212.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 211.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 209$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 195.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 195.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 190.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 178.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 158.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 156.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 151.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 141.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 141.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 136.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 130.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 120.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 112.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 104.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 98.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 97.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 92.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 86.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…cc2ebacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 80.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…ee45backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 72.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 69.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 65.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 61.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 54.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 53.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 51.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.