Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x284dd626712b5eb91cd236c1e35cdf6ed5882b8d984982ddf665c0479f12cd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 11,182$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 4,946$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.96 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 4,594$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 745.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.06 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 637.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 620.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 448.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 278.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 240.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 199.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…ad1dbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 192.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 189.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 101.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 74.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 70.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 60.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 48.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 48.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 44.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…6f23backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 42.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 42.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a71dbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 39.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 20.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.