TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wagner Seahawksof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Wagner Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c23,211$11,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,967.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Wagner Seahawks49c18,553$9,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,479.8874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…1c82backed Wagner Seahawks48c5,000$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6251181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+84.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Wagner Seahawks80c3,071$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.728639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Wagner Seahawks49c2,366$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Wagner Seahawks47c2,002$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0611435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wagner Seahawks21c1,565$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.534,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…a06dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights9c1,500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c1,326$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b2…e009backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights4c1,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52de…e0f6backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights73c865.5$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.291,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…cf1bbacked Wagner Seahawks29c701.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.321421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights66c534.11$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c489.45$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks30c419.59$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.963,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c349$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wagner Seahawks57c289.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.421,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights37c275.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.751,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights74c258.42$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.293,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Wagner Seahawks57c241.32$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.322839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wagner Seahawks29c239.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.441,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Wagner Seahawks23c218.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights38c211.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.771,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights28c210$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.810846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights43c204.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Wagner Seahawks62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7678155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Wagner Seahawks10c190.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.52630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wagner Seahawks47c189$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.171,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wagner Seahawks39c179.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c151$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c141.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c122.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Wagner Seahawks40c112.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8736845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Wagner Seahawks47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Wagner Seahawks28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1410144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c106.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0258345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights72c102.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Wagner Seahawks65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c76.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x800f…1535backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights60c75.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights45c67.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ce61backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9631666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c57.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba53…7af1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…482ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights39c53.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb604…3a4abacked Wagner Seahawks50c48.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c48.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights38c46.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights65c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights74c40.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.462,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights51c35.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks42c35.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Wagner Seahawks32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Wagner Seahawks42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Wagner Seahawks52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Wagner Seahawks51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2325152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c26.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.212537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wagner Seahawks60c26.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bb…15eebacked Wagner Seahawks56c26.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.674358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights48c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8619555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.662860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights65c21.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8313550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights77c17.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.382250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03d…21fbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights76c15.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8840%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.