Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4be97a37b0091fbc94fc6ef6484d3024857037ee4bc009b8c718f17eba285bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 57c | 46,138$26,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,354.15 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 32,622$14,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,583.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 56c | 10,000$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.62 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 2,330$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.32 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 44c | 1,843$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.36 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 54c | 1,427$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.21 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 57c | 1,181$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.17 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 731.44$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 58c | 680.16$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.31 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 57c | 525.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 378.92$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 43c | 348.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 59c | 176$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 157.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 135.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 91.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 42c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 73.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 43c | 63.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 58c | 28.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Over | 42c | 28.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 58c | 28.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 46c | 23.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Over | 46c | 21.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 136.5this page
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner SeahawksWagner Seahawks won
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 135.5Over won
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)Wagner Seahawks won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-1.5)Wagner Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.