Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b335912903c6e7783897415b6a6e3fd5b905262f614eb4b7d456c2d466bd38b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 20,333$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,374.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.95 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 61c | 2,947$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.75 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 34c | 1,500$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.05 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 1,390$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 21c | 1,249$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.12 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 930.67$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 26c | 401.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.25 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 37c | 314$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 296.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 295.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 43c | 284.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 55c | 270.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 23c | 247.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 57c | 193.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 190$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…bfe6backed Under | 77c | 160.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 39c | 155.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 20c | 149.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 124.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 37c | 116.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 37c | 100.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 88.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 25c | 83.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 23c | 79.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 39c | 69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 60.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 63c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 39c | 54.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 75c | 53.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 25c | 51.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Over | 42c | 50.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 35.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…bd8fbacked Over | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d72…faf7backed Over | 39c | 30.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 72c | 28.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 65c | 28.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…8181backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…d529backed Under | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Under | 77c | 23.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 70c | 20.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…f2cebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 69c | 17.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.