Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale Bulldogs vs. Penn Quakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c240464d41b584b0b1db7ca3e155a645c7ce9bc7a98d8b3320f2becf8e1c742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 3,452$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers | 8c | 2,463$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 1,457$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 850.15$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 71c | 847.22$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn Quakers | 23c | 656.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 600.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Penn Quakers | 9c | 235.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yale Bulldogs | 74c | 226.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Penn Quakers | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Penn Quakers | 15c | 173.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 9c | 141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Penn Quakers | 28c | 125.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn Quakers | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 23.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Penn Quakersthis page
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.