Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1a2204cb583508613b2af7dc0336d566a552f140757ded34056f728a6c0ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Northern Iowa Panthers, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 65c | 2,856$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.09 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 1,343$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 919.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 630$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 564.93$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 42c | 511.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 480.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 378.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 45c | 359.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 307.13$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 306.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Valparaiso Beacons | 54c | 268$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 204.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 45c | 163.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Valparaiso Beacons | 60c | 161.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 15c | 110.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 12c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…3ad0backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 92.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 54c | 54.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valparaiso Beacons | 39c | 42.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…4f15backed Valparaiso Beacons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 30.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-1.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.