Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14fc1801834044c424e0d7f5e21884e4c047af7a23ff7b7a0235205ee660dae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 2,499$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,666$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,121$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 872.51$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 624$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 269.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 241.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 221.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 185.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 154.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 126.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 111.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 27c | 101.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 89.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 30c | 73.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 71.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Yes | 28c | 52.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 27c | 43.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 71c | 35.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 71c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.