Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b614f08335f5b88b65662b238b3e2dc03e0eb495be87c451e6b0b6c2d56e877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 69c | 11,513$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 4,331$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,280$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,608$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 32c | 1,369$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 1,066$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 22c | 961$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 717$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.73 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 649$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.81 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 413.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 324.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 292.81$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 263.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 112.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 102.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 89.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 81.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked No | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 69.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 67.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…00c8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 29.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc989…ad9fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.