Europa Conference League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe8951efebb1a8ffde0d06ec71ac5be6d0998a820348b609c82ccafcada45ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 10c | 7,808$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,026.91 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 11c | 5,555$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 3,873$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 3,808$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.42 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 57c | 3,519$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.58 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,488$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 1,336$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.37 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,165$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…48bcbacked Yes | 12c | 809.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…95b8backed Yes | 53c | 548.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 333.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.6 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 31c | 215.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 40c | 210.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 162.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 147$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 32c | 119.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 41c | 104.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…1c5dbacked Yes | 10c | 100.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +378.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 98.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 20c | 77.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 79c | 62.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 55.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…f9e6backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 79c | 45.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…f462backed Yes | 30c | 43.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 77c | 40.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 79c | 37.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 12.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 0 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 1 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 2 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 0 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 1 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 2 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 3 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 0 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 2 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 3 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 1 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 2 Aston Villa?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 3 Aston Villa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.