Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6babb7fd81229e067a5d93ad21296cde1931574a0749ad70290c51f6790b4e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,716$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 1,277$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.58 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,249$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 16c | 696.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 18c | 483.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 370.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 309.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 162.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 19c | 121.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 112.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 995 | 52.6%523 W · 472 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…5dd1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 99.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 72.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 67.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 61.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…d137backed Yes | 24c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 898 | 57.9%520 W · 378 L | +56.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 78c | 23.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…fbe7backed No | 78c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…2517backed No | 78c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…1dc1backed No | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…67b5backed No | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.