Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d6f6852b1abad203d6ec77ec27edf2c715ab164e31309b86e9e5f624660bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 52c | 8,600$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.29 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 4,517$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 2,003$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.07 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked No | 15c | 1,915$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 1,471$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.39 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 1,365$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 900.95$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 790.8$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 724.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 566.41$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 544.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes | 75c | 470.67$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 65c | 448.34$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 79c | 409.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 382.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 35c | 368.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 33c | 341.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 76c | 309$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 274.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 244.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 212.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 199.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 64c | 184$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 137.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 130.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 100.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 54c | 94.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 75c | 82.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 26c | 74.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 55c | 73.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 79c | 62.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 69c | 48.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 23c | 47.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed No | 25c | 47.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 27c | 42.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 79c | 34.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 24.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad6…b401backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…f27bbacked Yes | 77c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.