Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021603d3653ad47f0b6e7be57d45ffb3a12da6cd10456aa14a0f4b04ec7e37ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 26c | 19,619$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.78 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 7,343$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.52 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 2,772$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,235$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,108$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 1,476$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 740.56$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 651.57$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 592.4$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 580.5$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 33c | 561$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 75c | 553.16$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 548.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Yes | 32c | 308.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 270.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 10c | 245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 202.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 194.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 181.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 26c | 179.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 175.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 171.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 116$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 106.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 78c | 97.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 73c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 93.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 78.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 56.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 41.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 75c | 28.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 75c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 74c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 75c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?this page
- Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.