Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd851249c9b14898a82413ee9691dee59cc98d0560edeb01291feeb02607ff341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 13c | 7,296$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.3 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 9c | 1,605$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 864.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 802.6$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Yes | 44c | 725.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 5c | 469.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 69c | 435.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 44c | 399.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 368.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 29c | 302.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 34c | 289.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 37c | 278.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 19c | 211.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked No | 57c | 204.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…df39backed Yes | 74c | 135.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 21c | 125.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 71c | 122.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 33c | 117.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 12c | 103.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 92.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 27c | 77.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 56c | 69.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 58.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 74c | 44.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 36c | 44.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 37.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 32.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 68c | 32.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 35c | 32.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 21.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 69c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?No won
- Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.