South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5972b64bbef6c14a91a38bc5e340193ac5a5ea1d3c226b8d519eab69a6afae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 63c | 743.26$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 709.54$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 478.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 43c | 461.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 53c | 417.61$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 376.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 281.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 227.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 170.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 12c | 170.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 160.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 138.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 13c | 130.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 108.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 106.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 47c | 100.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Yes | 46c | 99.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…dc63backed Yes | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 47c | 74.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 54c | 67.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 54c | 59.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 54.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 54c | 53.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 44.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 54c | 43.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 54c | 36.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Yes | 47c | 33.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 54c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 64c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 78c | 22.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.