TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Savannah: Stefan Kozlov vs Nick Hardt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nick Hardtof Stefan Kozlov, Nick Hardt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Stefan Kozlov55c7,098$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.712146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Kozlov45c4,646$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.7311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Stefan Kozlov1c4,377$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.810246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Kozlov13c3,846$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nick Hardt64c3,690$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.34,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nick Hardt46c2,951$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.5556757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stefan Kozlov36c2,050$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.293,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nick Hardt46c2,014$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.4654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Nick Hardt45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nick Hardt45c1,310$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.661,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Stefan Kozlov52c886.71$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.099452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Stefan Kozlov52c832.99$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1617348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stefan Kozlov52c830.73$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9829952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Stefan Kozlov49c749.13$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.962,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nick Hardt46c738.82$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.167,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Stefan Kozlov28c678.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1538013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Nick Hardt45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.571,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt72c605.25$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.45,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a3…d8e8backed Nick Hardt67c585.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.362250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Kozlov27c485.92$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nick Hardt78c429.26$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5756754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed Stefan Kozlov52c414.7$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.651442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Nick Hardt47c410.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5518133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed Nick Hardt43c400.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nick Hardt57c385.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.961,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Nick Hardt45c365$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7528933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Stefan Kozlov55c355.87$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5629444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Nick Hardt66c355.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Stefan Kozlov54c353.21$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.721560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Nick Hardt67c304.66$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9123457.3%134 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Nick Hardt45c290.38$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Nick Hardt45c290.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5636852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Kozlov28c288.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.934,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Kozlov17c237.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.957,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Stefan Kozlov43c236.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7768026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Stefan Kozlov23c226.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.837741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Kozlov54c218.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Nick Hardt46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3997141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…143cbacked Stefan Kozlov54c216.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.685251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Nick Hardt45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1921856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Nick Hardt46c210.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.915250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Stefan Kozlov56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Stefan Kozlov52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nick Hardt65c191.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.022,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Stefan Kozlov32c189.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.461,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Nick Hardt46c188.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.852853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Stefan Kozlov43c181.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Nick Hardt46c180.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.939643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Stefan Kozlov50c178.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4525265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Nick Hardt45c171.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5525250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Nick Hardt45c171.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5511844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nick Hardt63c171.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.566,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Stefan Kozlov49c161.52$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.443,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Nick Hardt48c161.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9614851.4%76 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Nick Hardt45c159.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.661,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…7cb3backed Stefan Kozlov31c154.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.882025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nick Hardt64c148.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.349,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefan Kozlov17c148$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.161,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Nick Hardt45c147.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3813641.9%57 W · 79 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ddd…98a5backed Stefan Kozlov40c143.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Stefan Kozlov26c142.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5414132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Stefan Kozlov31c132.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.651,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Nick Hardt43c119.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.261,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Stefan Kozlov42c118.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8634560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefan Kozlov51c117.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.631,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nick Hardt46c108.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.722,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nick Hardt45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5534154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nick Hardt68c99.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.882,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Stefan Kozlov51c97.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.559954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Nick Hardt51c97.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6623865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nick Hardt45c94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Stefan Kozlov31c91.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7761755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Stefan Kozlov37c90.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.531,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Nick Hardt45c85.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2812748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Nick Hardt57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7541850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Stefan Kozlov38c83.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0673549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Stefan Kozlov34c82.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.979240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Stefan Kozlov51c81.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Nick Hardt46c81.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7225745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Nick Hardt49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3617859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Stefan Kozlov30c79.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9581457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nick Hardt57c78.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Stefan Kozlov55c78.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0638754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Stefan Kozlov14c76.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6715641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Nick Hardt69c73.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9773648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Nick Hardt46c73.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7177047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Stefan Kozlov53c72.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3726953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Nick Hardt46c71.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7342344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Nick Hardt48c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed Nick Hardt73c66.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefan Kozlov52c63.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8396844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Stefan Kozlov51c61.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3432649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nick Hardt48c60.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Stefan Kozlov54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Stefan Kozlov54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Stefan Kozlov36c59.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5857953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Nick Hardt50c59.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Nick Hardt72c58.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5288273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Nick Hardt45c56.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Stefan Kozlov54c53.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.