Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc360e82d7f422419d61f0025a5a9f9c64ad8ad76cc787bd23da048ccbcec8566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 5,263$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.99 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 47c | 4,225$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Under | 54c | 4,083$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 55c | 1,475$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 1,450$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.46 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,442$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.92 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Under | 54c | 1,244$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 1,225$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 940$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 810.37$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.48 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 659.85$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 610.04$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 54c | 591.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 46c | 509.37$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 47c | 350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 306.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 44c | 245.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 220.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 42c | 171.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 169.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 167.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 48c | 166.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 156.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 56c | 93.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 93.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 68.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 46.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 45.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Over | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 55c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Paris FC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.