MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff192e507700075c71756c725d35ed22fc78570b3f07e33ee9f1dc6a7b59edd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,366$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.76 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,296$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Detroit Tigers | 75c | 906.35$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 847.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 520.97$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 433.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 352.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 325.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 317.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 210.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 208.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 199.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 182.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 151.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 140.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 138.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 131.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 119.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 102.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 92.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 77.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 71.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 70.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 68.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 62.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 56.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 48.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 44.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 44.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 39.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 33.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…ce64backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.