South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ffbc9509a030b2a10856a5930536e266f6901ff32be3dba76783150b68d188a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 5,365$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 54c | 3,160$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 17c | 2,526$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 2,165$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 2,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 79c | 2,045$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 24c | 1,677$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,214$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 34c | 1,118$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked No | 21c | 1,051$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 75c | 992.68$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 725.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…1376backed Yes | 65c | 709.96$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 62c | 680$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 26c | 559.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 19c | 475.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 23c | 458.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 80c | 450.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 78c | 449.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked No | 23c | 290.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 68c | 289.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 27c | 286.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 270.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 261.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 64c | 259.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 22c | 208.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 73c | 196.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 51c | 196.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 182.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 24c | 164$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 162.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 42c | 142.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked No | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 29c | 132.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 76c | 130.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 128.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed No | 17c | 125.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 53c | 106.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 26c | 106.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 76c | 101.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 99.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 39c | 98.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 21c | 96.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 61c | 90.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 52c | 81.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 74c | 62.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 44c | 55.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 55.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed No | 31c | 53.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 19c | 53.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Yes | 60c | 44.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 74c | 41.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 62c | 38.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 35.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 48c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.