South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a2f2be67f3cb81b8c9466b11c79e946f0a8c966678bfa6311c81c5e4d331e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 26c | 1,268$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,262$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 470.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 14c | 449.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 356.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6614backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 283.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 30c | 246.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 223.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 45c | 213.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 9c | 210.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 18c | 159.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 57c | 107.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 89.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 22c | 88.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…df71backed Yes | 24c | 84.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 66c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 50c | 67.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 56c | 51.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 46.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…5a0ebacked Yes | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…3307backed Yes | 57c | 22.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.