NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb834155eed730886e46c80a8a323659578dfa0400e596f7b23acde29ffb57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $871,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,029,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Magic | 13c | 171,879$21,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,847.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Magic | 12c | 78,461$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.97 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Magic | 8c | 62,083$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 13c | 52,954$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916.18 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 13c | 28,895$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.6 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 0c | 18,169$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 9c | 14,095$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.89 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 19c | 11,003$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.36 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 23c | 9,027$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.95 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Magic | 12c | 7,604$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.36 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 2c | 6,918$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 13c | 5,851$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.45 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Magic | 12c | 5,417$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Celtics | 79c | 5,247$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0576backed Magic | 14c | 4,529$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 23c | 4,434$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.77 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Magic | 10c | 4,300$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Magic | 8c | 3,680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 14c | 3,429$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Magic | 13c | 2,797$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Magic | 12c | 2,041$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Magic | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 1,650$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 1,647$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 5c | 1,489$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Magic | 14c | 1,393$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 13c | 1,090$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Magic | 12c | 1,075$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 12c | 1,007$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Magic | 22c | 1,004$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Magic | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 23c | 868.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 23c | 850$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Magic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Magic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…7b78backed Magic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Celtics | 79c | 631.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Magic | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Magic | 4c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 16c | 571$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Magic | 12c | 562$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Magic | 10c | 550.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Magic | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Magic | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Magic | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Magic | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Magic | 22c | 494.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 5c | 469.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 80c | 438.8$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Magic | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Magic | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…fc48backed Magic | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Magic | 11c | 321.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Magic | 10c | 312.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Magic | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Magic | 23c | 287.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Magic | 15c | 268.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Magic | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Magic | 14c | 255.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Magic | 5c | 253.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Celtics | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Magic | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Magic | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Magic | 11c | 229.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…da18backed Magic | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…0240backed Magic | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…275cbacked Magic | 6c | 210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Magic | 14c | 203.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…7e5fbacked Magic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Magic | 21c | 190.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…341dbacked Magic | 28c | 179.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…296dbacked Magic | 12c | 170.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…0246backed Magic | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Magic | 18c | 158.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2318…25cfbacked Magic | 12c | 157.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Magic | 12c | 156.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…0a26backed Magic | 12c | 155.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…cb52backed Magic | 13c | 152.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Magic | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…e0e1backed Magic | 13c | 143$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Magic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683c…e223backed Magic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e838backed Magic | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Magic | 8c | 139.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Magic | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Magic | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Magic | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.