MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbda44bcf8386cf7f462efdab541dc33849238945c1cfcdddd905e5948ae782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Twins, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $956,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Twins | 38c | 405,043$152,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,118.97 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Twins | 23c | 298,082$68,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,846.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 68c | 184,475$124,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,805.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 82,500$53,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Twins | 10c | 69,226$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.35 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 76c | 69,064$52,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,604.01 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 55,000$34,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,350 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 63c | 28,175$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,425.48 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Dodgers | 62c | 27,000$16,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 75c | 24,320$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 37c | 22,990$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Dodgers | 76c | 22,000$16,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Dodgers | 72c | 20,674$14,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 72c | 17,109$12,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 62c | 16,885$10,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.86 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Dodgers | 75c | 15,085$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.18 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Dodgers | 75c | 9,424$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 62c | 9,300$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dodgers | 63c | 8,630$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.11 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 37c | 8,064$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Twins | 19c | 5,342$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Dodgers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 4,545$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 1c | 4,112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 38c | 3,540$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.77 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 77c | 3,410$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.52 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 31c | 2,618$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Twins | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,589$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.37 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 36c | 2,585$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Dodgers | 67c | 2,541$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Twins | 39c | 2,417$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.63 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Dodgers | 61c | 2,380$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 2,343$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.48 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Twins | 28c | 2,153$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 76c | 2,077$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.56 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Dodgers | 74c | 2,000$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,600$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Dodgers | 64c | 1,569$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.63 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 29c | 1,402$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 1c | 1,312$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 1c | 1,222$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 36c | 972$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Dodgers | 62c | 856.71$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Twins | 31c | 683.63$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 39c | 650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Dodgers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Dodgers | 62c | 640$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers | 54c | 614.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Twins | 4c | 614$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Dodgers | 57c | 555.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Twins | 14c | 523.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 62c | 483$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 482.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 38c | 481.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Twins | 37c | 443.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 40c | 418$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Twins | 40c | 313$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 13c | 294.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Twins | 37c | 252.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 32c | 251.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…d13fbacked Twins | 5c | 235.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 37c | 219.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Twins | 37c | 213.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Dodgers | 65c | 211.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Twins | 38c | 209.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers | 42c | 200.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Twins | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 74c | 195.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 35c | 195.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 62c | 194.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 61c | 170.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Dodgers | 63c | 165.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…30ccbacked Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Twins | 25c | 158.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers | 63c | 132.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Twins | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Dodgers | 78c | 102.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.