MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6b762cac337da9d9d6a5fdcec77caf07352da1c32a366ba338e7236121a8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Orioles, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 42c | 19,029$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 58c | 17,289$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.18 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 24c | 14,897$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.24 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 44c | 12,610$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.04 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Astros | 57c | 8,930$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.64 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Astros | 59c | 7,992$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 56c | 7,802$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.72 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 43c | 7,266$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.36 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 48c | 5,911$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 33c | 5,662$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.63 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 57c | 5,288$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.84 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Orioles | 43c | 5,120$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 56c | 4,231$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 57c | 4,016$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Astros | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 44c | 2,802$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 64c | 2,272$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.79 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 77c | 2,039$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Orioles | 34c | 1,588$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.06 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Orioles | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 33c | 1,352$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.98 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 42c | 901$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.42 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 36c | 835$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 30c | 824.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astros | 56c | 746.04$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 67c | 626$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 42c | 605$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Orioles | 32c | 577.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Orioles | 34c | 568.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 50c | 547$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 57c | 532.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 56c | 499.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 69c | 461.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 15c | 449.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 59c | 388.65$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 44c | 366$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 42c | 349.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Astros | 72c | 347.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 45c | 288.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Astros | 70c | 285.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Astros | 56c | 280.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 65c | 275.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Astros | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 44c | 241.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 44c | 226.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Orioles | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.