Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9678a9db8d0853c5841294d8195396c9a0b47a876b8bbe9f5a22ff48a41e693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 21c | 2,293$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 1,644$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Partizan | 52c | 1,412$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 984.96$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Partizan | 28c | 598.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Partizan | 20c | 302.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 56c | 268.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Partizan | 21c | 229$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Partizan | 18c | 196.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 20c | 116.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Partizan | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Olympiacos B.C. | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Partizan | 55c | 60.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Olympiacos B.C. | 51c | 41.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 35c | 41.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…8095backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Partizan | 40c | 30.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…c564backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.