Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Dan Added vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbfa2e4bf67ebd1b42c7553696f43682df6a30a6803ba0c40f5e310f363e01ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passaroof Added, Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Added | 35c | 1,771$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.15 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Added | 5c | 820.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Passaro | 64c | 695.31$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Added | 16c | 569$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Added | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Passaro | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Added | 39c | 286$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Passaro | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Added | 35c | 219.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Passaro | 63c | 157.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Passaro | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Added | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Added | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Passaro | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Passaro | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Passaro | 72c | 40.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Added | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Passaro | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Passaro | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Passaro | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Passaro | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Passaro | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Passaro | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked Passaro | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Passaro | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Passaro | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Passaro | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Passaro | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Passaro | 65c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.