NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110b89a9c258c603f9ac07495eae4583afe0b0a9de2317b096da61394e323709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof Dinamo Minsk, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 30c | 635.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 616.96$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 30c | 493$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 10c | 484.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…b29cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 29c | 396$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 30c | 391.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…6204backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 29c | 373$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 358$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…1b0fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 347$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…e3dbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 241$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 203.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…4d80backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…3c25backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 131$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…b7ccbacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 18c | 58.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61e…1dcdbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 55.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 29c | 53.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…0c6cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…4041backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 39.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 37.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…87b8backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…8a10backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Dinamo Minsk | 72c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…a3aebacked Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.