NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ee74ad5d418888318fc5864586ec3d4908eaa3a6fd7b024765831898606923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 883.97$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.33 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 869.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 678.84$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dinamo Minsk | 27c | 656$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 627.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 606$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 504.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 221.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 209.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…c2c2backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 190.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 190.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 154.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 95.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…4455backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 89.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 79.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…3d8abacked Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 62.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…de7ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 59.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 27c | 55.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 52.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…b022backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…8e2cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 39.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 29.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 25.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.