NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca0a1f2324247e7093e6daa65da12963518e7110018f340c24dc812b131f960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof HC Dynamo Moscow, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed38…a7aabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 3c | 1,436$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 909.64$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.46 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 584.48$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 326.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 226$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 184$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 40c | 170.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 26c | 169$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 10c | 124.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 113.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 112$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…dfbebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 95.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 78c | 94.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 35c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 60.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 70c | 38.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dinamo Minsk | 78c | 24.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dinamo Minsk | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…df60backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dinamo Minsk | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.