Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee072af7d027b46779e9faea78b906fbb955de9b287013ab03b3243a8280c5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 6,121$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 68c | 5,273$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.27 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.98 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 35c | 2,217$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 873.6$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.45 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 67c | 670.03$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.53 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 50c | 649.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.11 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 65c | 443.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 66c | 310$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 66c | 302.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 32c | 95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked Over | 69c | 46.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 69c | 46.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Under | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 34c | 45.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.