Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Iryna Shymanovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745ff141372d4dfe5f042c18aca2415218d01e714bdf2a605e2fa56b08ebb7f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quevedoof Quevedo, Shymanovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Shymanovich | 66c | 1,027$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.01 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shymanovich | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shymanovich | 17c | 858.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Quevedo | 64c | 558.81$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Shymanovich | 50c | 466.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Quevedo | 40c | 419.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quevedo | 42c | 372.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shymanovich | 35c | 275.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Quevedo | 42c | 216.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Quevedo | 47c | 213.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Quevedo | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…c7f6backed Quevedo | 61c | 184.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Quevedo | 65c | 136.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Shymanovich | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Shymanovich | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Shymanovich | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Quevedo | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Quevedo | 57c | 76.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shymanovich | 59c | 70.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shymanovich | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed Shymanovich | 45c | 61.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shymanovich | 61c | 60.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Shymanovich | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Quevedo | 63c | 45.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Shymanovich | 37c | 45.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…0c7cbacked Shymanovich | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed Shymanovich | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…4019backed Shymanovich | 67c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…78afbacked Shymanovich | 72c | 28.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Shymanovich | 49c | 25.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Quevedo | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…8cb1backed Quevedo | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…d5a8backed Quevedo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Shymanovich | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Quevedo | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.