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La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$526,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c135,814$45,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,997.234240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over53c39,111$20,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,540.677276.4%55 W · 17 L+13.0wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c30,559$19,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,623.571,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c25,660$17,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,042.8192443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under50c25,557$12,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,882.644351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over65c24,674$16,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,160.2711041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee0…6bb2backed Over68c20,745$14,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,123.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under39c20,515$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,514.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under74c15,384$11,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.6510443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c15,248$9,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,699.13,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c12,880$7,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,767.3967839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c9,081$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,770.2451048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over66c8,091$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.371,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under65c6,251$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Under63c4,763$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over32c4,724$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over16c4,580$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.594445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over34c4,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006738.8%26 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under43c4,005$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under54c3,792$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.941936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd63d…75a1backed Over54c3,700$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a00…59e2backed Over23c2,649$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under79c2,538$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c2,449$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.4748338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over1c2,382$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over20c2,333$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.349168.1%62 W · 29 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under70c2,210$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.152114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over68c2,201$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over72c2,086$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007861.5%48 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under68c2,068$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5317039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over49c2,032$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over20c1,989$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.919762.4%123 W · 74 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under77c1,895$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.051637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over2c1,841$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.622842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c1,836$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2253852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under25c1,689$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.962334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick24cpaid-15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under33c1,613$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.632846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under65c1,549$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under49c1,427$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under71c1,409$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.112317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under76c1,316$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac7…1531backed Over62c1,312$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over78c1,233$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.933531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under78c1,189$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.42429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over76c1,185$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.5738144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over40c1,125$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under73c1,115$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0724259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Over64c1,100$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a75…258abacked Under28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.42475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+251.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+227.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c1,000$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5632635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over15c910$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over15c910$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over67c888$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9610360.2%62 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under77c885.89$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under57c875.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.823432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over78c841.03$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c831.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9812446%57 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over60c819.11$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under47c808.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.511258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over35c749.98$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.493946.2%18 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+47.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under66c731.16$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.211020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under70c707.82$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.134858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over17c623.06$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.546139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over60c620.9$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.047132.4%23 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over13c550.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2215542.6%66 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c512$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2414759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under38c457.84$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over41c449.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over39c429$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Under21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.964351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over79c391$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.895151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over64c389.29$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under65c382.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.191735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over16c362.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1589139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over25c351$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6215450.6%78 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c348.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.032,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over51c344.87$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under70c337.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.896950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Under24c333.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c02…abd6backed Over49c320$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over34c273$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.824843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under24c269.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over50c267.36$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under38c263.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.549356.8%280 W · 213 L+25.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over45c233$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5311845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Over21c230.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.