TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9738backed Over56c14,950$8,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,572.9360053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under50c9,626$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.131,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c8,510$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.162,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed Over55c4,490$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.85100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Over57c4,175$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.6726344.9%118 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under32c3,660$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed Over67c3,250$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.415349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c3,200$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43418336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under41c2,129$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.781,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Over48c1,794$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.885238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over59c1,612$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under53c1,592$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7612935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Over48c1,569$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5515…6236backed Over54c1,338$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked Over68c1,261$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over58c1,136$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1219758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…aa79backed Over48c1,012$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under32c1,006$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9516047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under45c1,000$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44634849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under39c971.51$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.3112843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under51c949.21$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.582,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Over69c939.64$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6424554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c909.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.361,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d72…0a9cbacked Over59c904.19$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.031090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+59.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8405…8501backed Over56c835.64$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33029738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under35c669.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0624832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Over66c666.34$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5616451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under36c630.81$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.957744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Over74c592.75$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Under44c590$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.68132.1%26 W · 55 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under44c590$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.664443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Under46c580.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9640741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Under39c541.56$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5841133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under45c517.33$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.81,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Under44c503.42$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9419735%69 W · 128 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under45c500.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9435443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15030546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Over55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under31c427.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13445338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under32c415.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.869935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Under33c415.15$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Over48c405$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6514346.2%66 W · 77 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under50c354.03$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.223221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under45c320$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.932,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf8…2dc8backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under37c294.02$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7337343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under38c288.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6435442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under49c283.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8946248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over57c281$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9938931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Under34c267.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7814735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over53c245.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6111657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86b…2549backed Under47c224.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over56c211$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8411161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Over60c208.59$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.595742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under47c207.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4142143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under33c205$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6513534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under33c200.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaeb…c2d0backed Under45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under30c188.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5530731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over57c187$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4118560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over53c176$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7212850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under35c170.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.971,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over48c160.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3443839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.641749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under48c147.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.311253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59cf…b102backed Over55c142$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under42c131.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1854529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under33c130.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.351,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over59c123.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7812022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under35c119.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.178050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed Under33c119$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.273240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012351.2%63 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Under44c113.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6628235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over46c112.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.381,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8c…dc39backed Over59c110.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under49c108.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick61cpaid-58.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under44c89.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.821,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under44c88.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under48c84.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under16c82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.153,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Under32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under44c77.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2411752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013349.6%66 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under44c67.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over49c64.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2145044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0838257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Under44c60.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.473447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over68c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc1…53babacked Under56c53.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…a690backed Under45c52.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.462015%3 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Under21c50.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.426811.8%8 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Over46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.744452.3%23 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.