Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855e19dbd6086e1f81830a56fdb507cf194fff1750d67abc850b445d69fcde6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinëof KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Shamrock Rovers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab01…c9f1backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 35c | 3,500$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 63c | 2,862$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 16c | 1,678$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.99 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 17c | 1,391$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.27 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 60c | 1,369$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 16c | 1,345$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.6 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 64c | 1,115$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 36c | 1,030$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.93 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 16c | 1,016$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.43 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 19c | 767$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +411.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 17c | 735$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.05 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 17c | 735$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.05 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 69c | 624.04$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.26 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 6c | 508.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 68c | 322.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 19c | 291$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 18c | 271.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 18c | 260$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 13c | 154$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 18c | 119.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…707fbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 65c | 107.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 68c | 83.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Shamrock Rovers FC | 80c | 36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Shamrock Rovers FC | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advancethis page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.