TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf18…3ca8backed Under56c3,548$2,000 inLost-$2,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,687$1,312 inWon+$1,374.982,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over44c791.45$351 inWon+$440.52,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under16c644.83$100 inLost-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c478.05$243 inWon+$234.561,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Under48c336.69$160 inLost-$160520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under13c316$41 inLost-$41.0837446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over16c224.08$36 inWon+$188.2318940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under60c165.5$99 inLost-$99.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over63c159.96$101 inWon+$59.195255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under34c106.37$37 inLost-$36.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over16c105.89$17 inWon+$88.9518732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over28c71.49$20 inWon+$51.474770.2%33 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over80c57.83$46 inWon+$11.774358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c53.65$17 inLost-$16.62,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under26c48.12$12 inLost-$12.418333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over65c45.97$30 inWon+$16.1950154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c42.88$28 inWon+$14.863,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over52c38.12$20 inWon+$18.121566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under43c29.87$13 inLost-$12.9235146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over52c25$13 inWon+$12.0445135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over76c19.6$15 inWon+$4.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.