Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f4f81f9e616b42c84e33f167cea8b787f6d1623b5ecf667e4da0edf71f6180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 3,053$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.81 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,445$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 2,021$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.79 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,561$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 1,500$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.84 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,011$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.4 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 750.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 749.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 23c | 649.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 52c | 615.22$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 36c | 396.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 247.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 37c | 223.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 12c | 213.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 45c | 154.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 41c | 128.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 102.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 86.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 69c | 84.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 71c | 70.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 65c | 51.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…f016backed Over | 65c | 50.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 37c | 48.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 26c | 41.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 37.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 77c | 32.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 55c | 29.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 22.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 5.5this page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to AdvanceKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.