TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinëof KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Shamrock Rovers FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë74c1,427$1,057 inWon+$370.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Shamrock Rovers FC27c713.6$189 inLost-$189.121,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Shamrock Rovers FC9c650.75$59 inLost-$58.682,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Shamrock Rovers FC26c576.92$150 inLost-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë12c204.03$24 inWon+$179.5923461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Shamrock Rovers FC25c199.96$50 inLost-$49.995433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë75c138.8$105 inWon+$34.046761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë70c35.71$25 inWon+$10.716858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë69c28.6$20 inWon+$8.874770.2%33 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë75c24.42$18 inWon+$6.0158061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë76c22.88$17 inWon+$5.5129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë75c14.42$11 inWon+$3.685260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.