TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x633e…d305backed Over79c10,476$8,255 inWon+$2,221.647560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under16c2,678$432 inLost-$431.562,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under21c2,322$488 inLost-$487.72030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,944$423 inLost-$423.342,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under6c1,920$123 inLost-$122.773,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under21c1,429$300 inLost-$30014443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under21c1,270$267 inLost-$266.6614744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under21c1,000$210 inLost-$21096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c628.39$39 inLost-$39.092,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under18c500$90 inLost-$9097346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under21c393.36$83 inLost-$82.6118940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under21c213.32$45 inLost-$45.4218732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under6c187.08$11 inLost-$11.226761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under22c114$25 inLost-$25.0815352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under22c100$22 inLost-$2223951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over80c81.33$65 inWon+$16.325356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under21c50$11 inLost-$10.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over78c20$16 inWon+$4.438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.