Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a30255d613e3b0fa88dbae0529a080a00196127a3a6a1f646e25533bbf2b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 45c | 1,121$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.2 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 390.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 364.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 61c | 273.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 54c | 259$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 46c | 230.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 15c | 202.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 54c | 168.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Over | 21c | 124.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 105.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 92.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 80c | 81.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 74c | 77.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 19c | 77.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 20c | 65.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 19c | 53.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 63c | 31.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 45c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team WE won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.