Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ded3f048a15ee18f4bcf78de402a7bb1316875fc8c27a76c8c25444c0ec8b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 46c | 3,611$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 993.92$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.23 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Over | 46c | 809.08$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.62 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 654.94$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.47 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 3c | 446$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 41c | 441.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 428.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 421.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 416.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 375.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 339.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 49c | 293.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 53c | 239$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 48c | 204.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 13c | 184$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 70c | 173$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 158.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 156.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Under | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 49c | 143.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 14c | 76.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 80c | 76.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Over | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 42.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 62c | 38.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…0d85backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 35.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Over | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…fdffbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 50c | 21.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- First Blood in Game 2?Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.