Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd09497e4cbf95b096074ae75f46f19d143854e0476f82422c94103bf0a9fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd961…35debacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 65c | 1,373$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.13 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LNG Esports | 43c | 1,132$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed LNG Esports | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LNG Esports | 65c | 722.16$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed LNG Esports | 70c | 703.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…6a24backed LNG Esports | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 414.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 307.59$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 224.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 220$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 206.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked LNG Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 128$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 105.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked LNG Esports | 38c | 100.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked LNG Esports | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed LNG Esports | 69c | 94.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…3958backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 88.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 86.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked LNG Esports | 30c | 85.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked LNG Esports | 42c | 78.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…0631backed LNG Esports | 70c | 66.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LNG Esports | 46c | 64.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked LNG Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 59.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 52.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked LNG Esports | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked LNG Esports | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…04a9backed LNG Esports | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed LNG Esports | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed LNG Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LNG Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked LNG Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed LNG Esports | 70c | 15.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- First Blood in Game 2?Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.