WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a598979bb064ce9d5b987c5ccd2a656131d290e58c78072ca668a6f6c479e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 4,375$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 3,266$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 53c | 2,299$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 2,183$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.64 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 38c | 1,600$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,531$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.67 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,145$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.49 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 460$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 21c | 350.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 204$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 6c | 177$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 117.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle StormChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.