WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22b2096d6834c1120ea4621dbe2bb62dadc6aa4ec5f68af381068b3353cc5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.98 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 4,425$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.39 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 3,247$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 53c | 1,005$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.57 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 53c | 890.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.74 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 55c | 816.95$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.95 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 784.06$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.67 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Over | 47c | 727.12$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 599.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 494.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 53c | 432.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 307.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 60c | 283.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 276$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 261.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 257.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Under | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 231.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 58c | 222.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 202.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 55c | 132.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 93.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 53c | 58.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 73c | 57.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 39.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…33bcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle StormChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.