WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a97ad0cbce483760e029f743172adae7c878e7442d350674a630762aed7af68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 2,766$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.92 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,227$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.11 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Over | 50c | 2,045$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Under | 49c | 1,319$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 835.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.87 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 769.37$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.38 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 578.5$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.04 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 50c | 124.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…359dbacked Under | 52c | 74.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 48c | 69.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…8897backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle StormChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.