WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d2a2a31ec83738094c03ca81c7e73330faa43749d74f6922406a1d0be477ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Chicago Sky, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 58,159$30,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,036.89 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 10,209$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.01 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 8,552$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 6,375$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.88 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 4,000$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.16 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 3,750$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 3,654$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.16 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 2,860$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 64c | 1,155$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 858$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Seattle Storm | 18c | 787.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 605$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.55 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 511.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 452.9$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 295.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 267$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 263.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 165.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 154$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 74.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 47.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 37.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Chicago Sky | 75c | 36.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chicago Sky | 75c | 31.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle StormChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.