WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa9adf430cd44774da1509bbbb026305978e8094101716c2a215b687c072511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 13,453$7,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.9 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 4,221$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.86 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 3,488$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 3,292$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.24 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,004$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.59 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 517$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 443.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm | 17c | 431.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 403$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 322.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 318.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 205$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Seattle Storm | 23c | 184.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 166$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 129.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 121.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…3c64backed Chicago Sky | 73c | 109$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 73.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 73.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 67.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 55.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 42.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 36.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 26.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 21.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle StormChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.