Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ae6a7a6fa94fd0d9fbe510932f3350322110780126b4fa0cd506e3270dd8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof All Gamers, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x584f…54b9backed All Gamers | 67c | 1,069$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.18 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked All Gamers | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed All Gamers | 21c | 775.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trace Esports | 64c | 768.68$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Trace Esports | 53c | 588.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Trace Esports | 37c | 570.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed All Gamers | 22c | 541.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…4c9dbacked All Gamers | 39c | 489.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed All Gamers | 11c | 366.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked All Gamers | 51c | 356.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Trace Esports | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed All Gamers | 19c | 296.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Trace Esports | 32c | 287.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trace Esports | 46c | 277.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked All Gamers | 63c | 270.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Trace Esports | 35c | 267.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed All Gamers | 17c | 245.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked All Gamers | 68c | 206.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked All Gamers | 29c | 185.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Trace Esports | 50c | 181.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers | 34c | 171.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Trace Esports | 33c | 164.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Trace Esports | 33c | 151$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Trace Esports | 66c | 148.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 147.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed All Gamers | 27c | 108.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Trace Esports | 34c | 101.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked All Gamers | 31c | 99.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked Trace Esports | 78c | 90.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed All Gamers | 15c | 90.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Trace Esports | 36c | 88.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed All Gamers | 36c | 83.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed All Gamers | 34c | 82.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed All Gamers | 34c | 82.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 68c | 77.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked All Gamers | 53c | 74.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked All Gamers | 64c | 72.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Trace Esports | 77c | 64.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked All Gamers | 63c | 63.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed All Gamers | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed All Gamers | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked All Gamers | 67c | 57.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Trace Esports | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed All Gamers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Trace Esports | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Trace Esports | 35c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Trace Esports | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked All Gamers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed All Gamers | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked All Gamers | 62c | 31.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed All Gamers | 39c | 30.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked All Gamers | 53c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Trace Esports | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef97…9790backed Trace Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…9accbacked All Gamers | 62c | 20.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)All Gamers won
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.