Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c90e390468ad8c1fa37f5ce8ed9d06eeedb000e9df2676605592c462b4752fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Eternal Fire, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 10,817$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.53 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GIANTX | 47c | 4,396$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.9 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed GIANTX | 60c | 4,308$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.2 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GIANTX | 51c | 3,431$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.48 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GIANTX | 61c | 2,491$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.62 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 1,649$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.25 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 1,117$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.37 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 923$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.95 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed GIANTX | 75c | 889.82$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX | 77c | 725.97$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 561.94$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GIANTX | 39c | 555$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 531.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed GIANTX | 39c | 501$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked GIANTX | 61c | 373.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed GIANTX | 34c | 362.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 340.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 321$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire | 13c | 234.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Eternal Fire | 29c | 204.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed GIANTX | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX | 46c | 193.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 188.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX | 75c | 179.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GIANTX | 67c | 178.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed GIANTX | 61c | 172$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX | 38c | 162.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 157.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked GIANTX | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed GIANTX | 39c | 128.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked GIANTX | 77c | 127.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 113.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked GIANTX | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 103.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 100.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked GIANTX | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked GIANTX | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed GIANTX | 49c | 98.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked GIANTX | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GIANTX | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked GIANTX | 51c | 89.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 80.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked GIANTX | 38c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 61.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked GIANTX | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 45.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 45.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 44.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GIANTX | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 34.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…9edfbacked GIANTX | 61c | 33.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed GIANTX | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked GIANTX | 35c | 30.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 30.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GIANTX | 76c | 29.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed GIANTX | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GIANTX | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed GIANTX | 60c | 27.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GIANTX | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GIANTX | 65c | 24.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)GIANTX won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaGIANTX won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.